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Lucy's avatar

"You cannot use cases presenting to health care systems as the denominator, as that is is not the totality of infections." BINGO! ( and the last line....priceless. thank you!)

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tracy's avatar

Comparing "percentage of myo per vaccination" to "percentage of myo per covid infection" is the correct comparison WITHOUT vaccine mandates, because the vaccination rate might be actually low... though never as low as the incredibly low risk of kids catching covid.

However, in most present contexts, the more appropriate question, given *mandates*, which will bring vaccination levels of children close to 90-100%, is to compare "total myo of vaccinated of 5-10" versus "total myo among non vaccinated 5-10". Because, comparing statistical entities of vastly different prevalence (100% vaccination versus 0.001% c19 cases in children) leads to distorted statistical analysis. And we need to publish these numbers each month, to account for the rate of change of vaccination levels in that age group. In the early days, the population size of the unvaccinated group is larger, and at some end point, the population size of the vaccinated will dominate, and somewhere in between, we'll be at a 50:50 vaccinated/non-vaccinated level, which would reveal the most precise myo assessment.

Thirdly, to warrant mandates, it does NOT suffice to demonstrate that one is simply lower risk than the other. In order to mandate a medical treatment, an inefficient one at that, people must retain personal choice unless the benefit outweighs the risk by a very large amount.

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